Monday, January 8, 2018

(JEWS ARE BEHIND IT w recalcitrant Rez Pahlavi Shah emigres from the '70s!- CDH)-     Don't Be Fooled: The Iran Protests Won't Overthrow the Regime

The National Interest January 8, 2018
Frederick (((Kagan))), Marie Donovan

Security, Middle East

Opponents of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani hold a protest outside the Iranian embassy in west London, Britain, January 2, 2018. REUTERS/Simon Dawson
More

It is too soon to say that the protests are over, but not too soon to say that Iran has had a new watershed moment.
Don't Be Fooled: The Iran Protests Won't Overthrow the Regime

The protests rocking an unprecedented expanse of Iran do not, and probably will not, immediately threaten the regime’s survival anytime soon despite the hopes and dreams of many here in Washington. Here’s why:

- The security apparatus was prepared for such a protest movement. The regime has implemented structural changes to the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and the paramilitary Basij organization. It has also improved the capabilities of the police forces over the last decade for the express purpose of tackling a sudden nationwide protest movement—even one more violent than the current situation. The regime also appears to have been fairly successful in preventing the security forces responding to the protests from inadvertently escalating the situation.

- Regime leadership is unlikely to lose its will to oppress the people. There is no indication that the current leadership is likely to lose its will or nerve any time soon, or that it will easily fall apart in ways that matter. Regime behavior in recent times of crisis indicates    https://www.yahoo.com/news/don-apos-t-fooled-iran-004400381.html https://www.yahoo.com/news/don-apos-t-fooled-iran-004400381.html

No comments:

Post a Comment